Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 40.16%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 29.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (7.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.39%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
