SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Argentinos Juniors | 12 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Union had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banfield | Draw | Union |
53.78% ( 2.66) | 25.51% ( -0.66) | 20.7% ( -2) |
| Both teams to score 45.44% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.4% ( 0.46) | 56.6% ( -0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.43% ( 0.37) | 77.57% ( -0.37) |
| Banfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 1.32) | 21.09% ( -1.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.09% ( 2.01) | 53.91% ( -2.01) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.59% ( -1.78) | 42.41% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.21% ( -1.57) | 78.79% ( 1.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banfield | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 13.92% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.65)2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.78% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.64% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.4)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.07% Total : 20.7% |
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