SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 45.36%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (7.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.94%), while for a Godoy Cruz win it was 0-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
45.36% ( -0.7) | 31.49% ( 0.13) | 23.14% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 34.37% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 27.9% ( -0.03) | 72.1% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 11.45% ( -0.02) | 88.54% ( 0.02) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% ( -0.41) | 32.48% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( -0.46) | 69% ( 0.46) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.9% ( 0.58) | 49.1% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.97% ( 0.41) | 84.02% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 17.93% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.22)2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.68% Total : 45.35% | 0-0 @ 15.94% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 31.48% | 0-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.2% Total : 23.14% |
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