SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
| 16 | Godoy Cruz | 12 | -1 | 15 |
| 17 | San Lorenzo | 14 | -2 | 15 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
42.84% ( 0.21) | 27.14% ( -0.07) | 30.01% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 48.99% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.88% ( 0.2) | 56.12% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.81% ( 0.16) | 77.19% ( -0.16) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( 0.2) | 25.93% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.07% ( 0.27) | 60.93% ( -0.27) |
| Godoy Cruz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( 0) | 33.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.47% | 70.53% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 30.01% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
