SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 2-1 (7.26%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Talleres |
36.86% ( -0.47) | 30.14% ( -0.19) | 32.99% ( 0.66) |
| Both teams to score 41.63% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.36% ( 0.63) | 65.64% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.66% ( 0.43) | 84.33% ( -0.44) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% ( 0.03) | 34.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.18% ( 0.04) | 70.82% ( -0.04) |
| Talleres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.2% ( 0.83) | 36.79% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.41% ( 0.82) | 73.58% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union | Draw | Talleres |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.16)2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.86% | 1-1 @ 13.49% 0-0 @ 12.55% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.13% | 0-1 @ 12.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.86% Total : 32.98% |
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