J1 League | Gameweek 22
Jul 6, 2024 at 11am UK
Saitama Stadium 2002
We said: Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 Shonan Bellmare
Only dropping points to second-placed Kashima in the last three matches, Urawa are enjoying a good run of form and should be too strong for relegation-threatened Shonan this weekend.
The visitors suffered an alarming defeat to a fellow basement dweller last time out, and we do not expect Bellmare's fortunes to change for the better in Saitama on Saturday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 53.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Shonan Bellmare |
53.6% ( -0.07) | 23.66% ( -0) | 22.74% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.52% ( 0.07) |
| 52.75% ( 0.06) | 47.25% ( -0.06) |
| 30.52% ( 0.06) | 69.47% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.9% ( -0) | 48.09% ( 0) |
| 64.91% ( 0.09) | 35.08% ( -0.09) |
