SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | -9 | 0 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 62.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 15.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | New Zealand |
62.74% ( 5.58) | 21.58% ( -1.87) | 15.67% ( -3.71) |
| Both teams to score 47.95% ( -1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( 1.85) | 48.53% ( -1.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( 1.67) | 70.66% ( -1.67) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( 2.53) | 14.87% ( -2.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.78% ( 4.61) | 43.22% ( -4.61) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.33% ( -3.41) | 43.67% ( 3.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.15% ( -2.97) | 79.85% ( 2.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | New Zealand |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.79% ( 1.08)2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.49% ( 1.25)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.53)4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.84)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.47)3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.41)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.3% Total : 62.73% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.89) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.39)Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.58% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.99) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.82)0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.67)1-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.23)Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.67% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
