SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | USA | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bolivia | 3 | -9 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Canada had a probability of 18.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Canada |
58.71% ( -0.16) | 23.1% ( 0.04) | 18.18% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.36% ( 0.04) | 50.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.45% ( 0.03) | 72.55% ( -0.03) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( -0.04) | 16.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% ( -0.07) | 47.02% ( 0.08) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.22% ( 0.16) | 41.77% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.76% ( 0.14) | 78.24% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| USA | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.15% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 58.71% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.81% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.18% |
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