Alaves have struggled to pick up points on the road this season, having lost six of their previous seven away league matches.
Although that may make for concerning reading, Coudet managed to end a run of six consecutive away league defeats with a draw in his first La Liga game in charge, and we think that Alaves will pick up another point against a Valencia side that are low on confidence following a number of poor results.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.05%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 26.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
-0.69) 
0.01) 
