SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest MTK win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varda SE would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Varda SE | Draw | MTK |
38.14% ( -0.01) | 25.74% ( 0.02) | 36.11% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.94% ( -0.07) | 49.06% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.86% ( -0.06) | 71.13% ( 0.06) |
| Varda SE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.79% ( -0.04) | 25.2% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.06% ( -0.05) | 59.94% ( 0.05) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( -0.04) | 26.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( -0.05) | 61.47% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varda SE | Draw | MTK |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.14% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 36.11% |
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