SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Kalmar |
40.11% ( -0.32) | 25.38% ( -0.15) | 34.51% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.34% ( 0.74) | 47.66% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.14% ( 0.68) | 69.86% ( -0.67) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( 0.17) | 23.54% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.41% ( 0.24) | 57.59% ( -0.23) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( 0.64) | 26.62% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.15% ( 0.84) | 61.85% ( -0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Kalmar |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.51% |
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