SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vasco da Gama.
| Result | ||
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
45.7% ( 0.71) | 24.84% ( -0.41) | 29.46% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% ( 1.64) | 47.03% ( -1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( 1.51) | 69.27% ( -1.51) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.36% ( 0.99) | 20.64% ( -0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.8% ( 1.54) | 53.2% ( -1.54) |
| Atletico Goianiense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( 0.63) | 29.58% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( 0.76) | 65.6% ( -0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vasco da Gama | Draw | Atletico Goianiense |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 4% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.7% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.31% Total : 29.46% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
