Prior to Labbadia's sacking, this match could have ended up being a routine victory for Bochum, but we expect Stuttgart's change in management to provide them with a timely boost as they look to move off the bottom of the table.
However, with the amount at stake in this match, we can easily envisage a share of the spoils between two evenly-matched teams desperately fighting to avoid relegation.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
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