Stuttgart appear to be ripe for the picking at the hands of an upset to Nuremberg, who will feel the weight of history on their side after the events of the 2006-07 final.
Neither team's league campaigns have gone as they would have hoped for, but with Max-Morlock-Stadion set to welcome far more fans within its 50,000-capacity than usual, the hosts could defy their standing in Germany's footballing pyramid to make the last four.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-2.37) 
0.77) 
