Koln's matches have been very low on goal-mouth action in recent weeks, while Stuttgart will be desperate to stop the rot and avoid a fourth successive defeat in the Bundesliga.
Labbadia's side will be hoping for a favour from Dortmund against their relegation rivals Hertha on Sunday, with a draw potentially enough to move them into the relegation playoff spot should they receive one. Baumgart is unlikely to be too disappointed if his side can continue their run of clean sheets.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
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