SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
43.61% ( 0.37) | 24.1% ( -0.09) | 32.29% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.9% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.59% ( 0.29) | 42.41% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.18% ( 0.29) | 64.82% ( -0.29) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.28) | 19.65% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( 0.45) | 51.63% ( -0.46) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( -0.03) | 25.44% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% ( -0.04) | 60.26% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.12% Total : 43.61% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.1% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.29% |
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