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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
FL

VfL Bochum
0 - 2
Freiburg


Zoller (34'), Schlotterbeck (76'), Broschinski (79'), Osei-Tutu (90+5')
Losilla (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gregoritsch (39'), Holer (51')
Lienhart (43'), Gunter (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 1-2 Freiburg

Bochum may have enjoyed home comforts of late, but a wider view of their form reveals four defeats in their previous five matches across all competitions and venues. We are backing Freiburg to end Bochum's winning run on home turf, with Streich calling upon all of his wile and guile to get one over Letsch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
VfL BochumDrawFreiburg
37.03% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 23.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 39.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 62.97% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.09% (0.026000000000003 0.03)38.9% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.78% (0.027999999999999 0.03)61.22% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.0019999999999953 0)21.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)54.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (0.021999999999991 0.02)20.08% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)52.32% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 37.03%
    Freiburg 39.37%
    Draw 23.6%
VfL BochumDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.65% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65%
4-2 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 37.03%
1-1 @ 10.6%
2-2 @ 6.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.6%
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 5.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 3.53% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.42% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 39.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-2 Dortmund
Wednesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: VfL Bochum 5-2 Hoffenheim
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 5-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: SV Sandhausen 0-2 Freiburg
Tuesday, February 7 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dortmund 5-1 Freiburg
Saturday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg
Saturday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Frankfurt
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 6-0 Freiburg
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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