SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Diosgyor win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Fehervar had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Diosgyor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Fehervar win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fehervar | Draw | Diosgyor |
34.08% ( 0.03) | 24.32% ( 0.01) | 41.6% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.76% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.12% ( -0.05) | 42.87% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.72% ( -0.05) | 65.28% ( 0.05) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.4% ( -0) | 24.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.9% ( -0.01) | 59.1% ( 0.01) |
| Diosgyor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( -0.04) | 20.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.63% ( -0.07) | 53.37% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fehervar | Draw | Diosgyor |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.6% |
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