SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fehervar win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for MTK had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fehervar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest MTK win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fehervar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fehervar | Draw | MTK |
42.59% ( 0.68) | 23.08% ( 0.02) | 34.33% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 64.45% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.22% ( -0.28) | 36.78% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.05% ( -0.31) | 58.95% ( 0.31) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( 0.17) | 17.79% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.5% ( 0.28) | 48.5% ( -0.28) |
| MTK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.39% ( -0.49) | 21.62% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% ( -0.76) | 54.73% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fehervar | Draw | MTK |
| 2-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.94% Total : 42.59% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.07% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.6% Total : 34.33% |
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