SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Vitebsk had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.72%). The likeliest Vitebsk win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
26.68% ( 0.2) | 25.86% ( -0.16) | 47.46% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 50.71% ( 0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( 0.74) | 52.89% ( -0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.5% ( 0.62) | 74.5% ( -0.63) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( 0.56) | 34.74% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.52% ( 0.59) | 71.47% ( -0.59) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( 0.29) | 22.28% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.26% ( 0.44) | 55.74% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | BATE Borisov |
| 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.68% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.18% Total : 47.46% |
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