SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitebsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
49.45% ( -0.04) | 24.96% ( -0.03) | 25.58% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.91% ( 0.19) | 50.09% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.94% ( 0.17) | 72.06% ( -0.16) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.72% ( 0.06) | 20.28% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.37% ( 0.1) | 52.63% ( -0.09) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% ( 0.16) | 34.14% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.16% ( 0.17) | 70.84% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 1-0 @ 11.04% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 49.44% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.58% |
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