SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitebsk win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitebsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitebsk | Draw | Gomel |
44.42% ( 0.12) | 27.5% ( 0.02) | 28.09% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.95% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.77% ( -0.13) | 58.23% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.13% ( -0.1) | 78.87% ( 0.11) |
| Vitebsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( 0) | 26.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.86% ( -0) | 61.14% ( 0.01) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% ( -0.18) | 36.49% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.73% ( -0.18) | 73.27% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitebsk | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.66% 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.88% 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 44.42% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 28.09% |
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