Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Juventude win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria in this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Juventude
44.37% ( 0.01)	25.47% ( 0)	30.16% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 54.22% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.6% (

-0)

49.4% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.56%

71.44% (

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78% (

22.23% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

55.65%

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

-0)

30.29% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54% (

-0)

66.46% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 44.37%

Juventude 30.16%

Draw 25.47%

Vitoria	Draw	Juventude
1-0 @ 10.12% 2-1 @ 9.09% 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.37%	1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.43% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 7.22% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 30.16%