Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.
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