SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Minai had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Minai |
52.43% ( 0.09) | 24.73% ( -0.01) | 22.83% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.3% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.43% ( -0.02) | 51.56% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.64% ( -0.02) | 73.36% ( 0.02) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.36% ( 0.03) | 19.64% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.39% ( 0.05) | 51.61% ( -0.04) |
| Minai Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.6% ( -0.09) | 37.4% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% ( -0.09) | 74.18% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Minai |
| 1-0 @ 11.95% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.86% Total : 52.42% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 22.83% |
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