SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Metalist Kharkiv win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
20.85% ( -1.32) | 25.37% ( -0.34) | 53.77% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 46.02% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.05% ( -0.06) | 55.94% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.95% ( -0.05) | 77.04% ( 0.05) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.13% ( -1.38) | 41.86% ( 1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.68% ( -1.23) | 78.32% ( 1.23) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( 0.66) | 20.83% ( -0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.49% ( 1.03) | 53.51% ( -1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | Vorskla Poltava |
| 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.12% Total : 20.86% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 13.68% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 10.73% ( 0.45)1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 5.61% ( 0.34)1-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.77% |
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