Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 54.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Minai had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Minai win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vorskla Poltava would win this match.