SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
47.35% ( -0.01) | 24.71% ( -0.01) | 27.94% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.27% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( 0.07) | 47.38% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.41% ( 0.06) | 69.6% ( -0.06) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( 0.02) | 20.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% ( 0.03) | 52.3% ( -0.03) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( 0.05) | 30.86% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% ( 0.06) | 67.14% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.71% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)Other @ 2.96% Total : 27.94% |
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