Blackburn are yet to draw in the Championship this season, but Watford have shared the points on four occasions, and we can see a low-scoring draw here. Both managers would be relatively content with a point on Tuesday evening, and a tight match could ultimately finish 1-1.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.