SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
43.96% ( -0.43) | 24.76% ( 0.01) | 31.27% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( 0.11) | 45.82% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( 0.11) | 68.14% ( -0.11) |
| Norwich City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -0.15) | 20.91% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.37% ( -0.23) | 53.63% ( 0.22) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( 0.33) | 27.74% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.69% ( 0.42) | 63.31% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Norwich City | Draw | Watford |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 43.96% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.75% | 1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.86% Total : 31.27% |
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