Although both teams enter Tuesday's contest in confident mood, we think that Watford will get the better of their opponents after winning their last three head-to-head home meetings by a combined 10-0 scoreline.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 50.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.05) 
