SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 50.95%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Barnet |
24.88% ( -0.11) | 24.16% ( -0.01) | 50.95% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 54.35% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% ( -0.07) | 47.32% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% ( -0.07) | 69.54% ( 0.07) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( -0.14) | 33.24% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.15% ( -0.15) | 69.85% ( 0.15) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% ( 0.02) | 18.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.14% ( 0.03) | 49.86% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 24.88% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 10.39% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 50.95% |
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