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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Truro City |
32.68% ( -0.01) | 25.73% ( 0) | 41.59% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.41% ( -0.01) | 49.58% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.39% ( -0.01) | 71.61% ( 0) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.01) | 28.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( -0.01) | 64.51% ( 0.01) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( -0) | 23.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( 0) | 57.74% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Truro City |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-1 @ 7.63% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.29% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.23% 0-3 @ 3.39% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.59% |
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