SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Aveley |
46.62% ( -0.06) | 24.68% ( 0.03) | 28.69% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( -0.11) | 46.79% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% ( -0.11) | 69.05% ( 0.11) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( -0.07) | 20.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.58% ( -0.12) | 52.41% ( 0.11) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70% ( -0.04) | 30% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.88% ( -0.04) | 66.12% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weston-super-Mare | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 28.69% |
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