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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
1 - 1
Weston

Gravata (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Reid (51')
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Chippenham Town and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salisbury 3-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
28.45% (0.121 0.12) 24.26% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 47.29% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 57.16% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (0.135 0.13)45.06% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.59% (0.13 0.13)67.41% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.72% (0.158 0.16)29.28% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.195 0.2)65.24% (-0.196 -0.2)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.17% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.16% (0.011999999999993 0.01)50.84% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 28.45%
    Weston-super-Mare 47.29%
    Draw 24.25%
Chippenham TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 6.99% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 6.9% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.23% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.86% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 28.45%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.3% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.66% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 4.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 47.29%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Salisbury 3-2 Chippenham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Nailsea & Tickenham 1-6 Chippenham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-0 Chippenham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-2 Enfield Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Chippenham
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Wimborne Town 0-2 Weston
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: St Albans City 0-0 Weston
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 2-0 Slough
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 3-2 Hornchurch
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 0-1 Weston
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League South


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