SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 39.72%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Reading |
35.73% ( -0.03) | 24.55% ( 0.01) | 39.72% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.28% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.35% ( -0.06) | 43.65% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.96% ( -0.06) | 66.04% ( 0.06) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.97% ( -0.04) | 24.03% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.7% ( -0.06) | 58.3% ( 0.07) |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( -0.02) | 21.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.74% ( -0.02) | 55.27% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Reading |
| 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.37% 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.03% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.54% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.72% |
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