BVB are in desperate need of a victory, but it is difficult to see them winning in a comfortable manner.
It would not be surprising if Wolfsburg scored first, but given their poor home form, they may struggle to hold onto a lead.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.29%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.38%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%).