Bayer Leverkusen have been lethal in front of goal, and it would not be surprising if star forwards like Wirtz continue their good form.
However, while Wolfsburg are underdogs they will take confidence from the fact that the hosts have struggled to keep many clean sheets in recent games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58.96%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 20.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-2 (5.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
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