SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 62.43%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 18.92% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.46%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (4.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
62.43% ( -0) | 18.65% ( -0.01) | 18.92% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.39% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.96% ( 0.09) | 29.04% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.98% ( 0.11) | 50.02% ( -0.11) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.94% ( 0.03) | 9.06% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.19% ( 0.06) | 30.81% ( -0.06) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( 0.07) | 28.1% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( 0.09) | 63.77% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.53% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.69% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.33% Total : 62.43% | 1-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.43% Total : 18.65% | 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)Other @ 4.13% Total : 18.92% |
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