SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Augsburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
41.74% ( -0.22) | 22.98% ( -0.05) | 35.28% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 65.06% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.92% ( 0.33) | 36.08% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.82% ( 0.36) | 58.18% ( -0.36) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 0.05) | 17.85% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( 0.08) | 48.6% ( -0.08) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( 0.29) | 20.8% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.53% ( 0.45) | 53.46% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.28% |
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