SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 36.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.4%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Union Berlin in this match.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
39.05% ( -0.38) | 24.12% ( -0.06) | 36.83% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 61% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.54% ( 0.32) | 41.46% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.14% ( 0.32) | 63.86% ( -0.33) |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0.04) | 21.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( -0.07) | 54.3% ( 0.06) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( 0.37) | 22.45% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.01% ( 0.55) | 55.99% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union Berlin | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.83% |
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