SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
27.57% ( -0.3) | 22.35% ( -0.11) | 50.08% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 63.21% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.32) | 36.78% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.06% ( 0.35) | 58.95% ( -0.34) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.36% ( -0.03) | 25.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.47% ( -0.05) | 60.53% ( 0.05) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( 0.26) | 14.99% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.56% ( 0.49) | 43.44% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.15% Total : 50.08% |
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