SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Burnley |
40.01% ( 0.05) | 25.04% ( -0.03) | 34.94% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.39% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.95% ( 0.15) | 46.04% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.65% ( 0.14) | 68.34% ( -0.14) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.09) | 22.87% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( 0.13) | 56.61% ( -0.13) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( 0.06) | 25.59% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.52% ( 0.08) | 60.47% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Burnley |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.94% |
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