Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
44.97% ( 0.51) | 23.75% ( 0.09) | 31.28% ( -0.6) |
Both teams to score 60.7% ( -0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.83% ( -0.68) | 41.16% ( 0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( -0.7) | 63.56% ( 0.69) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.42% ( -0.06) | 18.57% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.16% ( -0.1) | 49.84% ( 0.1) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.55% ( -0.7) | 25.45% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.72% ( -0.96) | 60.28% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.5% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.28% |
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