Burnley will be flying after their win over Southampton, but Wolves will be the much fresher of the two teams heading into this contest. The visitors need the points to boost their European hopes, but we believe that the two sides could ultimately cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
27.46%	26.43%	46.1%

Both teams to score 49.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.38%

54.62%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.04%

75.96%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.96%

35.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.22%

71.78%

Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35%

23.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.25%

57.74%

Score Analysis

Burnley 27.47%

Wolverhampton Wanderers 46.1%

Draw 26.43%

Burnley	Draw	Wolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.69% 2-1 @ 6.57% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.1% Total : 27.47%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 4.74% Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.43%	0-1 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 9.03% 0-2 @ 8.61% 1-3 @ 4.34% 0-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.57% 0-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.7% Total : 46.1%