SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 78.84%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 7.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.13%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 1-2 (2.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Arsenal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
78.84% ( 1.86) | 13.25% ( -0.77) | 7.9% ( -1.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -2.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.53% ( -0.09) | 30.47% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.24% ( -0.11) | 51.75% ( 0.11) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.88% ( 0.32) | 6.11% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.81% ( 0.9) | 23.18% ( -0.9) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.77% ( -2.5) | 45.22% ( 2.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.88% ( -2.05) | 81.11% ( 2.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
| 2-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.59)2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.54)4-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.37)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.13)6-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.2)6-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)Other @ 4.16% Total : 78.83% | 1-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.34)0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 13.25% | 1-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.27% Total : 7.9% |
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