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League Two | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
AW

Wrexham
2 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Fletcher (61'), Mullin (69')
Lee (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Currie (21')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Wrexham 2-0 AFC Wimbledon

With Wimbledon missing some key players through injury, suspension and international call-ups, we are struggling to see beyond Wrexham extending their impressive winning streak at the Racecourse Ground. Parkinson's side are playing like a team primed for back-to-back promotions at present, and it would be little surprise to see them competing in League One next season given the quality of players at their disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
46.9% (0.053000000000004 0.05) 23.34% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 29.75% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)40.04% (0.092999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)62.41% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.64% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)17.36% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.24% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)47.76% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.14% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)25.86% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.17% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)60.83% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 46.9%
    AFC Wimbledon 29.75%
    Draw 23.34%
WrexhamDrawAFC Wimbledon
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.88% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 46.9%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.07% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-1 Wrexham
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Barrow
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 Wrexham
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Wrexham
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Newport
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, January 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-3 Ipswich
Saturday, January 6 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 5-3 Colchester
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Sutton
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two


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