Having found the net 33 times in their 10 league games at the Racecourse Ground, Wrexham have scored more home goals than any other side in the division, and we think that firepower could prove the deciding factor against a leaky Colchester backline.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 63.61%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 1-0 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Colchester United win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
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