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League One | Gameweek 18
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
B

Wrexham
1 - 0
Barnsley

Rathbone (90+2')
McClean (72'), Dobson (75'), James (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Russell (47'), O'Keeffe (72'), Connell (85')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 2-1 Barnsley

This is shaping up to be a very interesting match, with Barnsley strong on their travels this term; Wrexham are such a powerful force in front of their own fans, though, and we are expecting Parkinson's side to navigate their way to all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBarnsley
49.48% (4.167 4.17) 23.97% (-0.71 -0.71) 26.55% (-3.454 -3.45)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.9% (0.96 0.96)45.1% (-0.957 -0.96)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.55% (0.915 0.91)67.45% (-0.91199999999999 -0.91)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.69% (2.102 2.1)18.31% (-2.098 -2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.6% (3.449 3.45)49.4% (-3.447 -3.45)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-2.004 -2)30.71% (2.008 2.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (-2.435 -2.44)66.97% (2.438 2.44)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 49.48%
    Barnsley 26.55%
    Draw 23.97%
WrexhamDrawBarnsley
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.334 0.33)
1-0 @ 9.55% (0.237 0.24)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.707 0.71)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.523 0.52)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.668 0.67)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.144 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.355 0.36)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.389 0.39)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.143 0.14)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 49.48%
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.115 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.62% (-0.235 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.97%
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.599 -0.6)
0-1 @ 6.64% (-0.673 -0.67)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.644 -0.64)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.399 -0.4)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.175 -0.18)
0-3 @ 1.54% (-0.357 -0.36)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-0 Wrexham
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-1 Wrexham (3-1 pen.)
Tuesday, November 12 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Mansfield
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Harrogate 1-0 Wrexham
Sunday, November 3 at 3.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 0-0 Bristol Rovers (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnsley 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Wigan
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Rotherham
Friday, November 8 at 7.15pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup


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