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League Two | Gameweek 30
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
CT

Wrexham
4 - 1
Crawley

Barnett (21'), Mullin (23', 82'), Cannon (76')
Bolton (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lolas (90+4')
Maguire (31')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 2-2 Crawley Town

Tuesday's game is undoubtedly far from straightforward to call. The home side's ambition to end in the top two positions means you are inclined to back them, but Crawley's four-game goal-laden away winning streak causes you to err on the side of caution. The spoils could be shared in the re-arranged match at the Racecourse Ground. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 52.95%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
52.95% (1.394 1.39) 22.98% (-0.56 -0.56) 24.08% (-0.834 -0.83)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.958 0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.13% (1.699 1.7)42.87% (-1.701 -1.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.73% (1.665 1.67)65.27% (-1.665 -1.67)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.81% (1.125 1.13)16.19% (-1.127 -1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.33% (2.01 2.01)45.67% (-2.011 -2.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.5% (0.22499999999999 0.22)31.5% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.11% (0.259 0.26)67.89% (-0.261 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 52.95%
    Crawley Town 24.08%
    Draw 22.97%
WrexhamDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.259 0.26)
3-0 @ 5.13% (0.194 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.17 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.213 0.21)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.171 0.17)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.132 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.95%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.1% (-0.394 -0.39)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.416 -0.42)
0-2 @ 3.4% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-0 Wrexham
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Mansfield
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-3 Wrexham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-4 Crawley
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-2 Doncaster
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-3 Crawley
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crawley 2-1 Notts County
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two


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